Study says that despite build up, war with China not likely

I’ve written a lot about our growing military tension with China over the past year — just hit “China” under the category label on the right-hand side of the page to see recent entries and get some good background on the subject.

One thing I’ve struggled to get my arms around is how do you have a cold war — or even a war — with a major trading partner, who by the way also holds a bunch of your debt. I mean, how does that work?

A recent study highlighted in The New York Times predicts precisely how this would work. In short, it wouldn’t.  Here’s the key point:

The report by the nine researchers, published by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said the most likely outcome for the next two decades showed China narrowing the gap with the United States in military abilities, in areas including building aircraft carriers and stealth fighter jets. At the same time, the report, to be released Friday, said China’s economic interdependence with the United States and the rest of Asia would probably prevent it from becoming a full-blown, cold-war-style foe, or from using military force to try to drive the United States from the region.

Read the whole article. It’s worth the look. And for the newer readers, here’s my view on the subject: America: Wake up, you bunch of stupid morons.

Stan R. Mitchell

Oak Ridge, Tenn.

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3 Comments

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3 responses to “Study says that despite build up, war with China not likely

  1. The first thing that I did after reading this, was to google the Carnegie Endowment, to see if I could catch scent on their political leanings. Call me a cynic. Pleased to discover that they are a mostly neutral think tank, trying to get something done. And, the man running the show at the the branch in Beijing is former Army. Boots on the ground. I hope they’re right. SF.

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    • Smart thinking, Mike. Thanks for bird-dogging that down. I probably lean too much on The Times these days, but I’ve found they’re usually REALLY good about pointing out if a think tank is left or right leaning.

      But it makes me feel better to know you tracked it down to confirm this was as legit as I thought it was. SF!

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  2. Pingback: Marine Watch: A blog on American foreign policy. | An archive of posts about China from the past year

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